Country-Specific Impact Analysis of U.S. Dollar Exchange Rate Movements on U.S. Trade Balance

摘要

In this paper, based on the quarterly data of the United States and its trading partners, the use of the geometric distributed lag model, cointegration to analyze the U.S. dollar exchange rate changes affect the trade balance of the country to conclude: the different trading partners for the U.S. dollar closing exchange rate changes on U.S. trade support quite different effects.