New Neuro-Fuzzy Approach to Recession Prediction

摘要

With the onset of the global financial crisis in September 2008 some economical terms become most used words and doubtless "Recession" is the most popular among them. The purpose of this paper is to redefine the term "Recession" precisely, to identify the indicators of recession, to analyze historical progress and to give different more effective approaches to predicting recession using US recession data.