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Multi-factor Analysis of Terrorist Activities Based on Social Network

机译:基于社交网络的恐怖主义活动多因素分析

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The rapid development of social network theory provides a new perspective for the research on counter-terrorism, but current research mostly relates to terrorists and terrorist organizations. Firstly, the "six-element" analysis method for terrorist activities based on social network is proposed in this paper, namely, a variety of sub-networks are constructed according to the correlation among the six elements --- people, organization, time, location, method and event. These sub-networks are assessed through using centrality analysis, cohesive subgroup analysis, spatial correlation analysis, invulnerability analysis and descriptive statistic analysis, the characteristics and laws of terrorist activities are revealed from several different perspectives. Then, the "six-element" analysis method is applied to conduct empirical research on "East Turkistan" terrorist activities since the founding of the People's Republic of China. Finally, core people and key organizations of the "East Turkistan" terrorist activity network are effectively identified, the invulnerability of the "East Turkistan" terrorist network is assessed, and the temporal and spatial distribution rules as well as the characteristics of the methods adopted in all previous terrorist activities are revealed. In a word, this research can provide a basis for decision making and an analysis method for the identification of core terrorists and key terrorist organizations, determination of the key alert period, location of counter-terrorism and the early warning of the major methods of terrorist activities.
机译:社会网络理论的快速发展提供了反恐研究的一个新的视角,但目前的研究主要涉及到恐怖分子和恐怖组织。首先,“六要素”分析恐怖活动为基础的社会网络中的方法,本文提出,即,各种子网络是根据六大要素之间的相关性 - 人,组织,时间建造,位置,方法和事件。这些子网络通过使用中心性分析的,结合的亚组分析,空间相关性分析,抗毁性分析和描述性的统计分析来评估,特点和恐怖活动法律被从几个不同的角度显示。然后,应用了“六要素”的分析方法,因为中华人民共和国中国的成立对“东突”恐怖活动进行实证研究。最后,核心的人与“东突”恐怖活动网络的关键组织有效地识别,“东突”恐怖网络的抗毁性进行评估,并在时间和空间分布规律以及对所采用的方法的特点所有以前的恐怖活动显露。总之,这项研究可以提供决策和核心恐怖分子和关键的恐怖组织,确定关键警报期间,反恐的位置和恐怖分子的主要手段的预警标识的基础的分析方法活动。

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