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A Real-time Optimization Algorithm with Evolving Fuzzy Wavelet Neural Network for Passenger Flow Forecast in Dynamic Transit Scheduling

机译:一种实时优化算法,具有动态运输调度乘客流量预测的模糊小波神经网络

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Wavelet neural network (WNN), combining with wavelet analysis and neural network, brings forth a highaccuracy performance in identification and approximation. Passenger °ow forecast plays an important role in transit scheduling and an improved WNN model is constructed to actualize dynamic forecast, in which Morlet wavelet is selected as the activation function. Input data series, i.e. historical data, traffic condition and weather information about passenger flows surveyed from No.63 line in Harbin, China, is pre-processed via a fuzzy operator before transferred to train and test the constructed network. A hybrid genetic algorithm and identical dimension recurrence idea are performed to optimize the structure and shape of WNN dynamically so as to enhance its forecast accuracy. The experimental result indicates the proposed WNN model can satisfy the precision request, accelerate the convergence speed, improve the global generalization ability and possess the practicality in transit dynamic scheduling.
机译:小波神经网络(WNN),与小波分析和神经网络相结合,在识别和近似下提出了高度理解的性能。乘客°OW预测在运输调度中发挥着重要作用,构建改进的WNN模型以实现动态预测,其中选择Morlet小波作为激活函数。输入数据系列,即中国哈尔滨63号线调查的乘客流量的历史数据,交通状况和天气信息,通过模糊运营商进行预处理,然后转移到培训和测试构建的网络。进行混合遗传算法和相同的维度复发思想,以动态地优化Wnn的结构和形状,以提高其预测精度。实验结果表明,所提出的WNN模型可以满足精度请求,加速收敛速度,提高全球泛化能力,并具有运输动态调度的实用性。

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