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Field Development Optimization with Subsurface Uncertainties

机译:地下不确定性的现场开发优化

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This paper outlines a framework for simultaneous optimization of a broad range of field development decisions with subsurface uncertainties. We optimize discrete and continuous decision variables such as the number of production or injection wells, their locations, perforation intervals, drilling schedules, well rates, etc. As a novel approach, we include additional categorical variables such as depletion strategy, well pattern, or facility size in the optimization process. We consider a limited number of discrete scenarios for each categorical variable (e.g., primary depletion, gas injection, or water injection as three development scenarios). Field development constraints on well locations, rig schedules, economic risks etc. are incorporated in the optimization. Hydrocarbon recovery or some economic indicator can be used as the objective function for the optimization and applied for ranking the field development options. Subsurface uncertainties are represented by incorporating multiple reservoir models in the optimization process. Ideally, all reservoir models in the ensemble should be evaluated for every considered field development option to define cumulative probability functions. However, this would make CPU demands very large in some cases. We propose two effective approaches to reduce CPU requirements: (1) one reservoir model is run to test the optimization criterion, and the remaining models are only run if the objective function is significantly improved; or (2) a novel application of a statistical proxy procedure to define a subset of the reservoir model ensemble that is run during the optimization cycle. The efficiencies gained with these techniques allow us to incorporate the additional decision variables in the full optimization process. Our results indicate that the proposed algorithms sufficiently reduce CPU requirements to effectively handle field development optimization problems with many reservoir models representing subsurface uncertainties. The algorithms have been effectively applied in many fields for simultaneous optimization of well placement, drilling schedule, well production/injection rates, perforation strategy, injection strategy, and facility modifications. They have also been successfully applied in giant oil/gas fields optimizing general field development scenarios.
机译:本文概述了同时优化具有地下不确定性的广泛现场开发决策的框架。我们优化离散和连续的决策变量,例如生产或注射井的数量,它们的位置,穿孔间隔,钻井时间表,井率等。作为一种新方法,我们包括额外的分类变量,如耗尽策略,井模式或优化过程中的设施规模。我们考虑每个分类变量的有限数量的离散场景(例如,主要耗尽,气体注入或作为三个发展方案的注水)。井位置,钻机时间表,经济风险等领域的发展限制始于优化中。碳氢化合物回收或一些经济指标可作为优化的目标函数,并申请排名现场开发方案。通过在优化过程中结合多个储存器模型来表示地下不确定性。理想情况下,应评估集合中的所有库模型,每个都考虑了各种实地开发选项以定义累积概率函数。然而,在某些情况下,这将使CPU要求非常大。我们提出了两种有效的方法来降低CPU要求:(1)运行一个储库模型以测试优化标准,只有在客观函数显着改善时才会运行剩余模型;或(2)统计代理程序的新颖应用,以定义在优化周期期间运行的储层模型集合的子集。通过这些技术获得的效率允许我们在完整优化过程中纳入附加决策变量。我们的结果表明,所提出的算法充分降低了CPU要求,以有效处理具有代表地下不确定性的许多储层模型的现场开发优化问题。该算法已经有效地应用于许多领域,以便同时优化井放置,钻井时间表,井生产/注射率,穿孔策略,注射策略和设施改造。它们也已成功应用于优化普通实地开发场景的巨型油/天然气场。

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