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Simulating Wind Speed Data by Stochastic Markov Chain Model

机译:通过随机马尔可夫链模型模拟风速数据

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In the present study the hourly wind speed data at two meteorological stations in Malaysia have been simulated by using probability transition matrices of Markov chain models. Depending upon the wind speed time series, the wind states have been selected to capture the shape of the probability density function. The manners in which Markov models can be used to generate wind speed time series are described. The models have been used to generate hourly synthetic wind speed time series. The generated time series have been examined to determine their ability to preserve the properties of the observed wind speed time series. A satisfactory accordance has been noted between the observed and the generated wind speed time series data.
机译:在本研究中,通过使用马尔可夫链模型的概率转换矩阵模拟了马来西亚两种气象站的每小时风速数据。根据风速时间序列,已选择风状态以捕获概率密度函数的形状。描述了马尔可夫模型可用于产生风速时间序列的方式。该模型已被用于生成每小时合成风速时间序列。已经检查了所产生的时间序列以确定它们保留观察到的风速时间序列性质的能力。在观察到的风速时间序列数据和生成的风速时间序列数据之间达到了令人满意的。

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