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Technical Risk Information: Decision Tool or Rhetorical Ammunition? Undisputed Facts in the Yucca Mountain Debate

机译:技术风险信息:决策工具或修辞弹药?尤卡山辩论中无可争议的事实

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This paper examines how both opponents and proponents of the proposed high-level nuclear waste repository at Yucca Mountain Nevada claim that uncontroversial information supports their conflicting positions. Four pieces of information in particular are claimed by both sides: the distance of the proposed site from Las Vegas, the volume of waste that has been produced, the threat of terrorism since 9/11/01, and the occurrence of an earthquake in early 2002. Possible explanations for the difference include Naive Positivism, Social Constructionism, Persistent Beliefs and Implicit Warrants. The latter two models better explain observed knowledge / preference states. If so, more or better information alone will not improve the dialog about Yucca Mountain. Rather, dialog should include a discussion of the ways in which they interpret information and draw conclusions based on their beliefs and warrants. This conclusion may be generalized to a range of information-intensive risk decisions.
机译:本文介绍了尤卡卡山内华达州拟议的高级核废物库的对手和支持者声称,无夫合信息支持其矛盾的立场。特别是四条信息由双方索赔:从拉斯维加斯提出的网站的距离,从9/11/01自9/11/01以来生产的恐怖主义的威胁,以及早期地震发生2002.可能的差异可能的解释包括天真的实证主义,社会建构主义,持久信念和隐性认股权证。后两种模型更好地解释了观察到的知识/偏好状态。如果是这样,单独的更多或更好的信息将不会改善关于Yucca山的对话框。相反,对话应该包括讨论他们根据他们的信仰和认股权证解释信息和得出结论的方式。该结论可以推广到一系列信息密集型风险决策。

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