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Sources of growth, input structure and technical progress in American high-technology: a business cycle analysis

机译:美国高新技术中增长,投入结构和技术进步的来源:商业周期分析

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General public concern about the strength of American manufacturing has lead to a consensus on the importance of the role of high-technology. With a time series data set on inputs and output of the high-technology sector for the period 1967-1982, this paper identifies the special features of this sector in terms of: (1) the sources of its output growth; (2) the substitution possibilities among its resource inputs; and (3) the nature and bias of its technical change. Output growth and its decomposed sources were studied by exploiting a conventional growth equation. The decomposition of the growth equation indicated that real growth in high-technology production took place during the business cycle 1973-1979 and that material and capital explained most of the output growth for the overall study period; the contributions of labor and total factor productivity were negligible. Substitution possibilities and technical change bias were studied by estimating a dual translog cost function that models high-technology production. The cost function was modeled with stocks of R&D as an index of technical change and included four inputs of capital, production workers, nonproduction workers and materials respectively.
机译:关于美国制造业实力的一般公众关注,导致了对高科技作用的重要性的共识。在1967年至1982年期间,在高科技领域的输入和输出上设定了一个时间序列数据,本文确定了本行业的特殊特征:(1)其产量增长的来源; (2)资源投入之间的替代可能性; (3)技术变革的性质和偏差。通过利用常规的生长方程研究了产量增长及其分解的来源。增长方程的分解表明,在1973年至1979年的商业周期中发生了高科技生产的实际增长,并将其材料和资本解释了整体研究期的大部分产量增长;劳动力和总因素生产率的贡献可以忽略不计。通过估计模拟高科技生产的双变差成本函数研究了替代可能性和技术变化偏差。成本函数以研发股票为模型,作为技术变革的指标,分别包括四个资本,生产工人,非生产工人和材料投入。

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