A Wind Speed Forecasting Model Based on Artificial Neural Network and Meteorological Data

摘要

This paper presents a method for the medium-long-term wind speed prediction based on spatiotemporal evolution of weather fronts and Multi-Layer Perceptron Neural Network (MLP NN) data mining model. The proposed wind speed prediction model is achieved by using historical and current meteorological data, such as pressure, temperature and wind intensity, describing the evolution of the weather fronts in a wide area around the point of interest. This model, trained and tested using real weather data, predicts the 24-h ahead wind speed. The forecasting effectiveness is evaluated comparing the wind forecasted with real data registered in the test site.