Assessment of Uncertainties and Parameter Estimation in a Offshore Gas Pipeline

摘要

Natural gas has a great importance in actual economy, and its transport is done usually through pipeline networks. The operation of a gas pipeline uses numerical models for calculation of intermediate properties, prediction of future behavior and estimation of the integrated flow capacity. These models are based on physical assumptions, closure laws and field measurements of boundary conditions such as pressure, flow, temperature and composition of the natural gas. This paper presents a development proposed for state and parameter estimation based on the implementation of an extended Kalman filter, in order to determine appropriate values for the flow parameters and use of complementary measurements in the boundary conditions. These results are compared to the ones obtained by using the Equal Error Fraction Method. It was found reduced pressure and flow systematic errors when the Kalman filter was used to estimate parameters.