Research on Finance Risk Early Warning Model Based on Signal Analyses Theory

摘要

With the development and opening up of our country,especially after the interim entry of WTO,Chinese finance industry would have to act on a world wide field,and compete with many foreign firms. This paper first introduces the safety problems of finance system. In terms of financial safety situation that China is facing under the condition of opening-up,it puts forward and analyzes internal and external factors that would exert influences on financial safety in the future. Then,the paper brings forward the concept of finance risks warning,selects several useful indicators to set financial early warning model by using signal analysis theory. And we have validated the effectiveness of it with historical financial data. The result shows that this early warning model matches the situation of China.