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EFFECT OF TRUNCATED DEMAND AND CAPACITY DISTRIBUTIONS ON RELIABILITY OF PIPELINES

机译:截断需求和产能分布对管道可靠性的影响

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Reliability of pipelines has been considered assuming different probability continuous distributions of demand and capacities. These distributions in reality can be truncated at the tails by physical constraints such as pressure relief valves (demand truncation), and hydro-testing (capacity truncation). This paper describes the effect of truncations on the reliability of pipelines. The effect of truncation by relief valves on the demand distribution is studied first; the effect of truncation by hydro-testing on the capacity distribution is studied second; and last, the combined effect of truncation on demand and capacity is studied. A comparison and analysis of results is presented to assess the importance of truncated distributions of demand and capacity on the reliability of pipelines. The results show that truncated distributions can have large effects on the reliability and should be accounted for, since they can alter significantly inspection and management policies.
机译:假设不同概率连续分布的需求和容量的可靠性已经考虑了管道的可靠性。现实中的这些分布可以通过诸如减压阀(需求截断)和水力测试(容量截断)的物理限制在尾部处截断。本文介绍了截断对管道可靠性的影响。首先研究了释放阀对需求分布的影响;研究了截断对电力检测的影响第二;最后,研究了截断对需求和能力的综合影响。提出了对结果的比较和分析,以评估截短的需求分布和管道可靠性能力的重要性。结果表明,截断的分布可能对可靠性产生大量影响,并且应占据较大,因为它们可以改变显着的检查和管理政策。

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