Environmental impact of electric cars in the urban area of Palermo

摘要

The aim of this research is to analyse the environmental impact that could be determined by the introduction of electric cars in the urban area of Palermo. First of all we've determined the electric car potential demand that has been forecasted using a stated preference (SP) analysis. The survey was carried out at the University of Palermo considering a particular target of consumers: "the hybrid household". A logit demand model has been calibrated using the SP technique to model the choice between electric car and the internal one. In the second part of the work was determined the pollutant emission decrease due to the introduction of electric cars into the automobile market, comparing the base case scenario, without the introduction of electric cars, and the forecasted one, obtained by the SP analysis data, also considering the higher emissions at electric power plants.