A SYSTEM DYNAMICS MODEL FOR A NEW PERSPECTIVE TO THE COLOMBIA DECENTRALISATION PROCESS REFORM

摘要

Today we face the toughest problems we have ever met as society. National states have the responsability to behave properly, giving its best to achieve a better life for people. Needless to say that developing countries face the worse scenario. Colombia is one of many countries in this situation, despite all of the efforts made by its central government. Since mid 80's, this country developed a full decentralisation process in order to achieve better results in local governments. However, the performance hasn't been the best. Colombia shows a worrying situation, high levels of poverty, violence, corruption and low quality of life. An additional element is that colombian decentralisation model has been dominated by an economical approach. This means that the policies has been based on statistical and econometric analysis. But it lacks a systemic view. The aim of this paper is to show how system dynamics may complement the public policy analysis in Colombia, in particular the intergovernmental and decentralisation policy design. To achieve this purpose, the project develops a system dynamics model around the problem mentioned above, specifically its focuses in the financial transfers policy and its problems associated with it.