Photovoltaic technology, performance, manufacturing cost and markets

摘要

A comprehensive discussion of key aspects of photovoltaic energy conversion systems will provide the basis for forecasting PV module shipments from 1999 to 2010. Principal areas covered include: 1) Technology and Performance Status: The module efficiency and performance are described for commercial cell technologies including single crystal silicon, polycrystal silicon, ribbon silicon, film silicon on low cost substrate, amorphous silicon, copper indium diselenide, and cadmium telluride. Figure One represents a summary of the data. 2) Manufacturing Cost- 1999 costs for PV technologies in production (single crystal silicon, polycrystal silicon, and amorphous silicon are developed. Manufacturing costs for 10-25 MW plants and 100 MW plants will be estimated. Figure Two summarizes the results. 3) The world PV market is summarized by region, top ten companies, and technology. Figures Three, Four, and Five summarize the data. 4) Forecast of the World Market (seven market sectors) to 2010 will be presented. Key assumptions..price of modules, incentive programs, price of competing electricity generation will be detailed. Figure Six summarizes the world market forecast to 2010.