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Incorporating risk curves into a reservoir management model for irrigation supply

机译:将风险曲线纳入灌溉供应的水库管理模型中

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A mathematical framework that incorporates risk attitudes into a management model for a reservoir supplying water to an irrigation district is proposed. The attitudes of the agricultural procedures are captured within a neural network which in turn is embedded into a stochastic dynamic programming (SDP) formulation. Rather than using the expectation of the return function to drive the SDP model, the neural network identifies the preferred alternative according to its learned risk attitudes. The advantage of this approach is that the risk attitudes can be utilized by the model without the use of surrogate measures.
机译:提出了一种将风险态度纳入水库供水到灌溉区的管理模式的数学框架。农业程序的态度在神经网络中捕获,这反过来嵌入到随机动态规划(SDP)配方中。神经网络而不是使用返回功能的期望来驱动SDP模型,而是根据其学习的风险态度来识别优选的替代品。这种方法的优点是模型可以使用风险态度而无需使用替代措施。

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