首页> 外文会议>統計関連学会連合大会 >A copula approach to spatial econometrics with applications to finance
【24h】

A copula approach to spatial econometrics with applications to finance

机译:具有申请资助的空间计量计量学的一种谱系方法

获取原文

摘要

Traditional models in spatial econometrics utilize a spatial weight matrix as a means to express spatial dependence, but its choice is quite arbitrary. Besides, it imposes a linear structure between dependent variables; in its simplest form, a dependent variable at one spatial unit is alinear combination of dependent variables at other spatial units (see LaSage and Pace (2009), Elhorst (2014)) among others). When the underlying disturbance distribution is assumed to be Gaussian or elliptical in general, the model does not allow asymmetry in dependence structure and tail dependence for spatial interactions. These restrictions are too strict in some applications, for example, to financial data such as market indexes and exchange rates for several countries (c.f. Kou et al. (2018)). In this study, therefore, we generalize existent models to allow for some nonlinear and tail dependence in dependent variables by employing copula approach to the disturbance distribution; Using a skew-t copula for example (Yoshiba (2018)), we may capture nonlinear and tail dependence which cannot be detected by linear models. After discussing some properties of the resulting model, we develop an estimation method both for parametric and semiparametric model. For parametric models, we can use either full maximum likelihood method or the method of inference function for margins. Semiparametric estimation of dependence parameters in parametric copulas without any knowledge of marginal distributions is another possibility. We then apply our recent resampling procedures with the empirical beta copula to compute confidence intervals. Simulation results illustrate the applicability of our procedure, and some real applications to financial data will be given. Possibility of extensions by accommodating exogenous explanatory variables and observable endogenous weighting matrix (a la Kelejian and Piras (2018)) will be discussed.
机译:空间计量学中的传统模型利用空间重量矩阵作为表达空间依赖的手段,但其选择是非常任意的。此外,它在依赖变量之间施加了线性结构;在其最简单的形式中,一个空间单元处的依赖变量是其他空间单元的依赖变量的依赖性组合(参见其他空间单位(参见左屏幕和速度(2009),Elhorst(2014))等)。当假设潜在的干扰分布是高斯或椭圆形的一般时,该模型不允许依赖结构的不对称性和尾部依赖性的空间相互作用。这些限制在某些应用中过于严格,例如,对几个国家的市场指数和汇率等财务数据(C.F.Kou等人)。因此,在这项研究中,我们通过采用扰动分布来概括存在于依赖变量的一些非线性和尾部依赖性;例如(Yoshiba(2018))使用Skew-T copula,我们可以捕获非线性和尾部依赖性,线性模型无法检测到。在讨论产生的模型的一些属性之后,我们开发了参数和半造型模型的估计方法。对于参数模型,我们可以使用完整的最大似然方法或利润率推理功能方法。在没有任何边缘分布的情况下,参数分布中的依赖参数的半脉印估计是另一种可能性。然后,我们将最近的重新采样程序应用于经验测试程序,以计算置信区间。仿真结果说明了我们的程序的适用性,并将提供对财务数据的一些实际应用。将通过容纳外源性解释性变量和可观察的内源加权矩阵(La Kelejian和Piras(2018))来延伸延伸的可能性。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号