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Large-Scale Spatiotemporal Predictiou Method of Traffic Speed Based on 3D Convolutional Neural Network

机译:基于3D卷积神经网络的交通速度大规模时空预测方法

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In recent years, the development of big data acquisition and storage, computer technology and communication technology has provided new momentum for ITS, while traffic speed prediction is a core link of ITS. In order to achieve large-scale traffic forecasting in urban road network and extract the time series feature and spatial feature of road network speed evolution, a spatiotemporal prediction method based on 3D convolution neural network is proposed in this paper, using gridded historical traffic data and corresponding road network traffic speed for training. Finally, in the empirical analysis stage, 3D CNN is evaluated and compared with the prediction results of 2D CNN, LSTM, and BPNN models on the whole, midweek and weekend.Experimental results show that the MAE, MAPE, and RMSE indices of the test set are at least 10% better than other models. It has a good performance in the actual road network traffic speed prediction.
机译:近年来,大数据采集和储存,计算机技术和通信技术的发展为其提供了新的势头,而交通速度预测是其核心联系。为了在城市道路网络中实现大规模的交通预测,提取时间序列特征和道路网络速度演化的空间特征,本文提出了一种基于3D卷积神经网络的时空预测方法,采用网格历史交通数据和相应的道路网络流量培训。最后,在经验分析阶段,与整体,中周和周末的2D CNN,LSTM和BPNN模型的预测结果评估3D CNN。实验结果表明,MAE,MAPE和RMSE指标的测试套装比其他型号更好地为10%。它在实际的道路网络流量预测中具有良好的性能。

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