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Global Mortality from Outdoor Fine Particle Pollution Generated by Fossil Fuel Combustion

机译:化石燃料燃烧产生的室外细颗粒物污染造成的全球死亡率

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Background-The burning of fossil fuels, especially coal and diesel, is a major source of airborne fine particulate matter (PM2.5), and air quality has been implicated as key contributor to the global burden of mortality and disease. We aimed to undertake a global assessment of mortality associated with air pollution from fossil fuel combustion among adult population. We also estimated mortality due to lower respiratory infections (LRI) among children under the age of five in North America, South America and Europe. Methods-Global PM2.5 exposure levels were derived from the chemical transport model GEOS-Chem. Relative risks and attributable fractions of mortality were modeled using function from meta-analysis of association between long-term exposure to air pollutants and mortality. Results-We estimate a total global annual premature mortality attributable to the fossil-fuel component of PM2.5 with 6,69 million deaths. Greatest mortality is simulated over regions with substantial higher change in the PM2.5 concentration, notably parts of eastern North America, Europe, and Asia. We also estimated the excess annual deaths due to child LRI with 794 in North America, 619 in South America and 523 in Europe. Conclusion-This study demonstrates that the fossil fuel component of PM2.5 does have an important mortality burden. By quantifying the health consequences of fossil fuel combustion, a clear message is sent to policymakers and stakeholders of the co-benefits of alternative energy sources.
机译:背景-化石燃料(尤其是煤和柴油)的燃烧是空气中细颗粒物(PM2.5)的主要来源,空气质量被认为是造成全球死亡和疾病负担的主要因素。我们的目标是对成年人口与化石燃料燃烧造成的空气污染相关的死亡率进行全球评估。我们还估计了北美,南美和欧洲5岁以下儿童的下呼吸道感染(LRI)所致的死亡率。方法-全球PM2.5暴露水平来自化学迁移模型GEOS-Chem。相对风险和死亡率归因分数是通过对长期暴露于空气污染物与死亡率之间的关联进行荟萃分析的函数建模的。结果-我们估计可归因于PM2.5的化石燃料成分的全球年度过早死亡总数为669万人。在PM2.5浓度变化较大的地区,特别是北美东部,欧洲和亚洲的部分地区,模拟了最高死亡率。我们还估计了因儿童LRI造成的每年额外死亡,北美为794人,南美为619人,欧洲为523人。结论-这项研究表明,PM2.5的化石燃料成分确实具有重要的死亡率负担。通过量化化石燃料燃烧对健康的影响,可以向决策者和利益相关者传达替代能源共同利益的明确信息。

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