首页> 外文会议>IAEE International Conference;International Association for Energy Economics >ARE DAY-AHEAD PRICES ENOUGH TO EXPLAIN AND PREDICT THE NEXT DAY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND? EVIDENCES FROM THE FRENCH CASE
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ARE DAY-AHEAD PRICES ENOUGH TO EXPLAIN AND PREDICT THE NEXT DAY’S NATURAL GAS DEMAND? EVIDENCES FROM THE FRENCH CASE

机译:提前一天的价格足以解释和预测第二天的天然气需求吗?法语案例中的证据

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Over the last two decades, a series of European regulatory reforms have prompted the emergence of a collectionof day-ahead wholesale markets for natural gas, the so-called ”gas hubs”, that turned out to become an importantsource of gas procurement as the previously monopolized industry structure gradually became more fragmented(Miriello and Polo, 2015). By construction, the functioning of these markets is thus closely affected by thedetailed balancing rules used by the Transmission System Operator (TSO). Despite the recent harmonization ofthe balancing procedures imposed by the European Commission, market analysts recurrently point importantdifferences in the perceived degree of trading liquidity observed at the European gas hubs (Heather and Petrovich,2017). A fundamental public policy issue is, thus, whether the current market design generates transparent spotprices that reflect the market participation of all the concerned agents: suppliers, trading firms and consumers.
机译:在过去的二十年中,一系列的欧洲监管改革促使一系列产品的出现 日趋庞大的天然气批发市场,即所谓的“天然气枢纽”,变成了重要的 由于以前垄断的行业结构逐渐变得更加零散,天然气采购的来源 (Miriello和Polo,2015年)。因此,通过建设,这些市场的功能会受到市场的密切影响。 传输系统运营商(TSO)使用的详细平衡规则。尽管最近 欧盟委员会规定的平衡程序,市场分析师经常指出,这一点很重要 在欧洲天然气枢纽中观察到的交易流动性感知水平的差异(希瑟和彼得罗维奇, 2017)。因此,一个基本的公共政策问题是,当前的市场设计是否会产生透明的位置 反映所有相关代理商(供应商,贸易公司和消费者)的市场参与程度的价格。

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