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Modeling diversified electricity generation scenarios for Pakistan

机译:为巴基斯坦的多样化发电情景建模

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Long term power system planning is required to meet fast growing electricity demand in Pakistan. Policy makers need to consider both environmental and economic concerns to make timely decisions about electrical power generation mix. In this paper, energy demand is predicted for the country from 2005 to 2030. In order to meet this demand; energy supply modeling is performed through software Long-range Alternative Energy Planning System (LEAP) for the same period. A baseline or Business As Usual (BAU) scenario is developed according to official government policies. However, three scenarios are assumed considering new strategies. This study simulates the electrical power supply model in order to find out economically viable fuel mix with limited impact on environment. In this regard, the policies discussed are chosen with respect to comparative cost benefit analysis and CO2 emissions related to the selected fuel mix.
机译:需要长期的电力系统规划,才能满足巴基斯坦快速增长的电力需求。政策制定者需要同时考虑环境和经济因素,以便及时做出有关发电混合的决定。本文预测了该国2005年至2030年的能源需求。能源供应建模是通过软件“长期替代能源计划系统”(LEAP)进行的。根据官方政府政策制定了基准或照常营业(BAU)方案。但是,假设考虑了新策略的三种情况。这项研究模拟了电源模型,以找出对环境影响有限的经济可行的燃料混合物。在这方面,所讨论的政策是根据比较成本效益分析和与所选燃料组合有关的CO2排放量来选择的。

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