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Results of a Class C Blind Prediction Competition on the Numerical Simulation of a Large-Scale Liquefaction Shaking Table Test

机译:大型液化振动台试验数值模拟的C类盲预测竞赛结果

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This paper presents the results of a class C numerical blind prediction based on a large-scale shaking table test which was recently conducted at UCSD on a shallow foundation located on top of liquefiable soils. The organized blind prediction was focused on predicting the liquefaction-induced permanent settlements at multiple locations at free-field as well as on the foundation and comparing them with those measured during the test. Eight teams submitted predictions which were carried out using a wide range of software platforms, constitutive soil models, and element types. The accuracy of blind prediction submissions was evaluated in terms of root-mean-square error (RMSE) and the team with the lowest RMSE was ranked 1st and declared as the winner of the blind prediction. This paper discusses the observed bias trends of the predicted settlements in terms of the extent of underestimation and/or overestimation.
机译:本文介绍了基于大规模振动台测试的C类数字盲预测的结果,该测试最近在UCSD上进行了对可液化土壤顶部浅层基础的测试。有组织的盲目预测着重于预测液化引起的永久性沉降,这些沉降是在自由场以及基础上的多个位置进行的,并将它们与测试中测得的永久性沉降进行比较。八个团队提交了使用各种软件平台,本构土壤模型和元素类型进行的预测。根据均方根误差(RMSE)评估了盲目预测提交的准确性,RMSE最低的团队排名第一,并被宣布为盲目预测的赢家。本文根据低估和/或高估的程度讨论了预测的定居点的观测偏差趋势。

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