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Impact of Advertising Signs on Freeway Crashes within a Certain Distance in Michigan

机译:广告招牌对密歇根州一定距离内高速公路碰撞的影响

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In spite of some improvements, more treatments are needed for transportation safety. Advertising signs are among factors that adversely affect drivers' vision, and increase the number of crashes at some locations. This paper discusses 42 advertising signs located on different freeway sections in Michigan that could contribute to crashes at certain distances from the signs. The total number of crashes was collected from the state crash database for the period from 2009 to 2013. A buffer area of 1.500 ft was defined for before and after each sign using the ArcGIS 10.0 software package. The distribution of the crash distance consisted of two gamma distributions, and parameters of mixed distribution were investigated by employing the expectation maximization algorithm (EM algorithm) as an iterative statistical method. The R software package was utilized for this algorithm to define the parameters of the mixed distribution and to minimize misclassification. Welch's formula was used to define the border, and Newton's procedure was employed to find an X value (i.e., identified distance) to satisfy' Welch's formula. Results show the selected advertising signs could increase the number of crashes 552 ft from the signs. A regression model also indicated that among other factors such as land use characteristics, median type, ramp presence, number of lanes, and other type of signs on the freeway sections, these 42 signs have significantly caused an increase in crashes, and it is recommended to relocate them to other parts of freeways in order to improve traffic safety.
机译:尽管有一些改进,但为了运输安全还需要更多的处理方法。广告招牌是对驾驶员视力产生不利影响的因素,并且会增加某些位置的撞车次数。本文讨论了位于密歇根州不同高速公路段的42个广告标牌,这些标牌可能会在距标牌一定距离的地方造成撞车事故。从状态崩溃数据库收集了2009年至2013年期间的崩溃总数。使用ArcGIS 10.0软件包为每个标志之前和之后定义了1.500 ft的缓冲区。碰撞距离的分布由两个伽马分布组成,并采用期望最大化算法(EM算法)作为迭代统计方法研究了混合分布的参数。 R软件包用于此算法,以定义混合分布的参数并最大程度地减少错误分类。韦尔奇公式用于定义边界,牛顿法用于查找X值(即确定的距离),以满足韦尔奇公式。结果表明,选定的广告标牌可能会使距离标牌增加552英尺的撞车次数。回归模型还表明,除其他因素外,例如土地使用特征,中位类型,坡道存在,车道数量和高速公路路段上的其他类型的标志,这42个标志显着导致了撞车事故的增加,因此建议使用将它们重新定位到高速公路的其他部分,以提高交通安全性。

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