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Multifidelity Optimization Under Uncertainty for a Tailless Aircraft

机译:无尾飞机不确定性下的多保真度优化

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This paper presents a multifidelity method for optimization under uncertainty for aerospace problems. In this work, the effectiveness of the method is demonstrated for the robust optimization of a tailless aircraft that is based on the Boeing Insitu ScanEagle. Aircraft design is often affected by uncertainties in manufacturing and operating conditions. Accounting for uncertainties during optimization ensures a robust design that is more likely to meet performance requirements. Designing robust systems can be computationally prohibitive due to the numerous evaluations of expensive-to-evaluate high-fidelity numerical models required to estimate system-level statistics at each optimization iteration. This work uses a multifidelity Monte Carlo approach to estimate the mean and the variance of the system outputs for robust optimization. The method uses control variates to exploit multiple fidelities and optimally allocates resources to different fidelities to minimize the variance in the estimates for a given budget. The results for the ScanEagle application show that the proposed multifidelity method achieves substantial speed-ups as compared to a regular Monte-Carlo-based robust optimization.
机译:本文提出了一种在航空航天问题不确定性条件下进行优化的多保真度方法。在这项工作中,证明了该方法对基于波音Insitu ScanEagle的无尾飞机的鲁棒优化的有效性。飞机设计通常受制造和运行条件不确定性的影响。在优化过程中考虑不确定性可确保设计更可靠,更可能满足性能要求。由于对每次优化迭代中估计系统级统计信息所需的评估代价高昂的高保真数字模型进行了大量评估,因此设计健壮的系统可能会在计算上受阻。这项工作使用了多保真度的蒙特卡洛方法来估计系统输出的均值和方差,以进行稳健的优化。该方法使用控制变量来利用多个保真度,并将资源最优地分配给不同的保真度,以最小化给定预算的估计差异。 ScanEagle应用程序的结果表明,与常规的基于Monte-Carlo的鲁棒优化相比,所提出的多重保真度方法可以大幅提高速度。

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