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MIT-JAPAN STUDY: FUTURE OF NUCLEAR POWER IN A LOW-CARBON WORLD: THE NEED FOR DISPATCHABLE ENERGY

机译:MIT日本研究:低碳世界中核能的未来:可分配能源的需求

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Concerns about climate change will require a transition from fossil fuels to nuclear, wind, and solar. Because energy is about 8% of the gross national product of the world, it is essential to avoid large increases in energy costs that would significantly decrease human welfare. Fossil fuel electricity generating systems have relatively low capital costs and high operating costs-fuel. This characteristic enables economic variable electricity production that matches electricity demand because the cost of electricity from a fossil plant operating at part load is not that much different from a plant operating at full capacity. Nuclear, wind and solar systems have high capital costs and low operating costs. If these electric generating assets are operated at half capacity, the cost of electricity is nearly doubled. Their high capital costs require full use of these systems. Wind and solar output depends upon location and local weather conditions-they do not provide dispatchable electricity or dispatchable energy for other uses and can i assure energy will he produced when needed. Today's nuclear systems can provide dispatchable electricity and heat but operating nuclear plants at low capacity factors is expensive. The question is how do we create an economic power system with minimum burden to the society by a combination of low-carbon dispatchable and non-dispatchable energy sources, replacing the traditional role of fossil fuels, to fulfill the requirements for a safe, secure, affordable and environmentally acceptable energy source? Independent of concerns about climate change, development of nuclear systems that could provide dispatchable energy (electricity and heat) with base-load reactor core operation would broaden the capabilities to economically meet global energy needs-a no-regrets nuclear energy strategy for the future. To address these challenges researchers from the United States and Japan undertook a series of studies to address how to make this transition in the context of the Future of Nuclear Power. The Executive Summary [1] of the final report is below.
机译:对气候变化的担忧将需要从化石燃料过渡到核能,风能和太阳能。由于能源约占世界国民生产总值的8%,因此必须避免能源成本的大幅增长,而这将大大降低人类的福利。化石燃料发电系统的资本成本相对较低,燃料的运营成本较高。该特性使经济可变的电力生产能够满足电力需求,因为化石电厂在部分负荷下运行的电力成本与满负荷运行的电厂相差无几。核能,风能和太阳能系统的资本成本很高,运营成本也很低。如果这些发电资产以一半的容量运行,则电力成本几乎翻了一番。他们高昂的资本成本要求充分利用这些系统。风能和太阳能的输出取决于位置和当地的天气状况-它们不提供可调度的电力或可调度的能量用于其他用途,并且我可以确保在需要时将产生能量。当今的核系统可以提供可调度的电力和热能,但是以低容量因数运行的核电站非常昂贵。问题是,我们如何通过将低碳可调度和不可调度能源相结合,建立起对社会负担最小的经济动力系统,从而替代化石燃料的传统角色,从而满足安全,有保障,负担得起且环保的能源?独立于对气候变化的关注,可以通过基本负荷反应堆堆芯运行提供可调度能源(电和热)的核系统的发展将扩大经济上满足全球能源需求的能力,这是未来必不可少的核能战略。为了应对这些挑战,美国和日本的研究人员进行了一系列研究,以解决如何在核电未来的背景下实现这一过渡。最终报告的执行摘要[1]如下。

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