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Sensitivity Analysis of Factors Affecting Decision-Making for a Housing Energy Retrofit: A Case Study

机译:住房能源改造决策影响因素的敏感性分析:一个案例研究

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In the United States, over 60% of the housing inventory is more than 30 years old. One way to improve energy efficiency of those aged buildings is through housing retrofits. One of the main challenges of housing retrofit projects is making the decision about the amount of investment that results in maximum long-time benefits. In terms of life-cycle cost for a housing retrofit, different factors may affect the type of retrofitting alternatives to be implemented in the project. This research first introduces an optimization model for decision-making in housing retrofit. The model incorporates the use of genetic algorithm for selecting the optimum retrofitting plan based on the minimum life-cycle cost of the building. Then using a case study through this research a sensitivity analysis is performed to evaluate the impact of different factors such as service life of the building, homeowner's available budget, and discount rate of the building location on the suggested optimum retrofitting alternatives. The initial results illustrate that the retrofitting efforts could be more feasible when the service life of the building is high and the amount of discount rate is low. The results can help homeowners to make a more accurate decision for a housing energy retrofit.
机译:在美国,超过60%的住房存续时间超过30年。改善那些陈旧建筑物的能源效率的一种方法是通过房屋翻新。房屋翻新项目的主要挑战之一是做出可带来最大长期利益的投资金额决策。就房屋翻新的生命周期成本而言,不同的因素可能会影响要在项目中实施的翻新替代方案的类型。本研究首先介绍了用于房屋翻新决策的优化模型。该模型结合了遗传算法的使用,可以根据建筑物的最小生命周期成本来选择最佳的改造方案。然后,通过本研究的案例研究,进行敏感性分析,以评估不同因素(例如建筑物的使用寿命,房主的可用预算以及建筑物位置的折现率)对建议的最佳改造方案的影响。初步结果表明,当建筑物的使用寿命高且折现率低时,改造工作可能更加可行。结果可以帮助房主做出更准确的房屋能源翻新决策。

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