A Brain Emotional Learning-based Prediction Model for the prediction of geomagnetic storms

摘要

This paper introduces a new type of brain emotional learning inspired models (BELIMs). The suggested model is utilized as a suitable model for predicting geomagnetic storms. The model is known as BELPM which is an acronym for Brain Emotional Learning-based Prediction Model. The structure of the suggested model consists of four main parts and mimics the corresponding regions of the neural structure underlying fear conditioning. The functions of these parts are implemented by assigning adaptive networks to the different parts. The learning algorithm of BELPM is based on the steepest descent (SD) and the least square estimator (LSE). In this paper, BELPM is employed to predict geomagnetic storms using the Disturbance Storm Time (Dst) index. To evaluate the performance of BELPM, the obtained results have been compared with the results of the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS).