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An Innovative Regional Approach to the Analysis of Hurricane Impact on Offshore Platforms

机译:对海上平台飓风影响分析的创新区域方法

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Hurricanes are one of the biggest threats to offshore platform integrity and personnel security in the Gulf of Mexico. In hurricane-dominated regions, history of extreme events at a determined location, like an offshore platform, are often too scarce for a direct Extreme Value Analysis (EVA). Extreme Value Analysis being essential for structural design, it is necessary to explore new methodologies. The spatial method presented in this article is based on the Regional Frequency Analysis (RFA), adapted to hurricane-generated sea states. The goal is to increase the size of the sample of extreme events considered for a given location, to ensure a more reliable view of the distribution of very extreme events. For a concrete application, a hindcast dataset of significant wave height over the Gulf of Mexico is decomposed into homogeneous regions where distinct locations show similar hurricane impacts. The identification of these homogeneous regions is performed by applying the Ward hierarchical clustering method on peaks of significant wave heights generated by hurricanes.
机译:飓风是墨西哥湾的离岸平台诚信和人才安全的最大威胁之一。在飓风主导地区,确定地点的极端事件的历史,如海上平台,往往太稀缺了直接极值分析(EVA)。极值分析对于结构设计至关重要,有必要探索新的方法。本文中提出的空间方法基于区域频率分析(RFA),适应飓风生成的海州。目标是增加考虑给定位置的极端事件样本的大小,以确保更可靠地观察极端事件的分布。对于混凝土应用,在墨西哥湾的高度波浪高度的Hindcast数据集被分解成均匀区域,其中不同的位置显示出类似的飓风影响。通过在飓风产生的显着波浪高峰上应用病房分层聚类方法来进行这些均匀区域的识别。

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