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A hybrid simulation framework for the newsvendor problem with advertising and viral marketing

机译:混合仿真框架,用于广告商和病毒式营销的新闻供应商问题

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The newsvendor problem is known as one the classical problems in the inventory management context which has received a great deal of attention during the past few decades. In this paper, a two-level simulation-based framework is proposed, where in the first level, agent-based simulation is developed to model the effect of advertising intensity and word-of-mouth on the demand in order to estimate the demand distribution under various levels of advertising intensity. The results from the agent-based model are then plugged into a Monte Carlo simulation model in order to make the final decision on the optimal advertising intensity and economical order quantity with the objective to maximize the expected profit. The proposed approach is then applied to a hypothetical newsvendor problem to illustrate its applicability as a decision support tool for solving real-world newsvendor problems.
机译:新闻供应商问题在库存管理环境中被称为经典问题之一,在过去的几十年中受到了广泛的关注。本文提出了一个基于两级仿真的框架,在第一级中,开发了基于代理的仿真以对广告强度和口碑对需求的影响进行建模,以估计需求分布在各个级别的广告强度下。然后,将基于代理的模型的结果插入到蒙特卡洛模拟模型中,以便就最佳广告强度和经济订单数量做出最终决定,以最大程度地提高预期利润。然后,将所提出的方法应用于假设的新闻供应商问题,以说明其作为解决现实新闻供应商问题的决策支持工具的适用性。

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