Influence factor of China's export country distribution — The empirical study base on gravity model by panel data during 1997–2008

摘要

This paper establishes a gravity model of trade by panel data such as China's export to its 25 primary international trade partners etc during 1997–2008. And the model embraces time trend variable which divides the samples into 12 groups. Through the empirical study we find that China's export country distribution per annum is impacted in various extent by China and its trade partner's GDP, China and its partner's GNP per capita, the great-circle distance between two countries' capital, FDI from partner to China, China's import from its partner, whether both the partner and China are APEC members, whether partner is China's important entrepot trade partner, whether trade partner is earlier member of related free trade agreements which China would sign in the later.