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An experimental exploration of route choice: Identifying drivers choices and choice patterns, and capturing network evolution

机译:路线选择的实验探索:确定驾驶员选择和选择模式,并捕获网络演变

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Driver route choice is typically modeled using mathematical programming approaches that assume that drivers choose their routes to minimize some objective function, and assume that drivers have perfect, or close to perfect, knowledge of their choice set, as well as the travel characteristics associated with each of the choice elements. It is, however, well documented in human psychological behavior that human perceptions are often different from actual reality, and that humans tend to minimize their cognitive efforts, and follow simple heuristics to reach their decisions; especially under uncertainty and time constraints. With this in mind, unlike most route choice research that is primarily focused on the end result of the route choice task, this research effort traces the evolution of route choices with driving experience and network knowledge. The research presented in this paper monitors and traces actual human route choice, and demonstrates that (a) drivers' route choice evolution varies; while some drivers do not evaluate the various alternative routes others do not decide on a specific route, (b) although there appears to be possible evidence to conclude that drivers learn the network conditions by experience, it appears that drivers perceptions over estimate the benefits, (c) drivers' route choice behavior differs between different driver groups, and (d) soliciting drivers' route choice based on observing choices over a period of time with reasonable accuracy is possible.
机译:驾驶员路线选择通常使用数学编程方法来建模,该方法假定驾驶员选择他们的路线以最小化某些目标函数,并假定驾驶员对其选择集以及与每个驾驶员相关联的出行特征具有完全或接近完美的知识。选择元素。但是,在人类的心理行为中有充分的记录,即人类的感知常常与实际情况有所不同,人类倾向于将其认知努力减至最少,并遵循简单的启发式方法来做出决定。特别是在不确定性和时间限制下。考虑到这一点,与大多数主要针对路线选择任务最终结果的路线选择研究不同,本研究工作通过驾驶经验和网络知识来追踪路线选择的演变。本文提出的研究监测并追踪了实际的人类路线选择,并表明:(a)驾驶员的路线选择演变是不同的;尽管有些驾驶员没有评估各种替代路线,而另一些驾驶员没有对特定路线做出决定,但(b)尽管似乎有证据可以得出结论,即驾驶员是根据经验学习网络条件的,但似乎驾驶员的看法过高地估计了收益, (c)驾驶员的路线选择行为在不同的驾驶员组之间有所不同,并且(d)可以基于一段时间内的观察选择以合理的准确性来请求驾驶员的路线选择。

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