首页> 外文会议>International conference on computer applications in shipbuilding >A COMPUTER SYSTEM FOR REAL OPTION ANALYSIS OF INVESTMENT IN SHIPS
【24h】

A COMPUTER SYSTEM FOR REAL OPTION ANALYSIS OF INVESTMENT IN SHIPS

机译:用于船舶投资的实际选择分析的计算机系统

获取原文

摘要

The paper presents the main features of a computer system for support the analysis of investment in ships, based on Real Options Analysis - ROA and Monte Carlo simulation. ROA has been increasingly adopted for large projects, subject to high degree of uncertainty and presenting significant managerial flexibility. Despite of the recognized applicability in shipping, ROA is not normally applied, mainly because of the technical and operational complexity. The system aims at overcoming these problems, and was designed to make feasible ROA application by non-specialists. The proposed ROA methodology for shipbuilding projects may incorporate options of abandon, defer or lay-up. The models for stochastic series of time-charter rates and ship prices, necessary for ROA, may be automatically or interactively selected. The system also allows the interactive definition of the cash flow structure, including the managerial options to be considered. The architecture of the computer system and the user interface are discussed.
机译:本文提出了一种计算机系统的主要特点,以支持船舶投资分析,基于真实的选择分析 - ROA和Monte Carlo仿真。 ROA越来越多地用于大型项目,受到高度的不确定性,并提出重大管理灵活性。尽管承认的运输适用性,ROA通常不会适用,主要是因为技术和操作复杂性。该系统旨在克服这些问题,旨在通过非专家制作可行的ROA申请。提出的造船项目的ROA方法可以包含放弃,推迟或铺设的选择。可以自动或交互地选择ROA的随机时间租金率和运输价格的模型。该系统还允许互动定义现金流结构,包括要考虑的管理选项。讨论了计算机系统和用户界面的架构。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号