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Risk Based, Statistical Approach to Assessment of Corrosion Anomalies in Pipelines

机译:基于风险,统计方法评估管道腐蚀异常的统计方法

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In-line inspection of subsea pipelines is a common method to detect anomalies within carbon steel pipelines however the cost of an intelligent pigging campaign is sometimes not economically viable, particularly for situations requiring subsea to subsea pigging. DNVGL-ST-F101 is a risk based offshore standard which requires that the probability of failure be lower than pre-determined levels depending on the safety class of the Pipeline system. As a consequence a risk based assessment methodology has been developed and utilized to ensure code compliance. This paper presents a methodology and a supporting case study for the use of an externally mounted inspection tool to undertake spot checks of the pipe wall to determine an overall statistical corrosion model of the pipeline in lieu of more costly in-line deterministic inspection methods. This inspection was required to support a pipeline's commissioning process after wet parking of the pipeline for an extended period. The methodology presented utilizes the results from a spot inspection tool that can report wall thickness for discrete elements of the pipe wall (for example 1 mm2 or 1 cm2) with each scan encompassing a short length of the pipeline (for example a 1 m length) resulting in a large number of data points. The data points are samples from the overall pipe population and as such can be used to infer the overall pipe wall element population's statistical parameters. To provide confidence that the data points are representative of the overall population it is important to understand the credible corrosion mechanisms within the pipeline and ensure that sampling locations are chosen accordingly to capture areas in which high corrosion may occur. Sub-populations may also be identified based on key locations (e.g. girth welds) and assessed separately to provide a refined assessment of the overall corrosion mechanisms. Statistical boot-strapping is performed on the data points to provide confidence bands around the sampled data with the most conservative extreme probability curve being utilized in the final assessment. The case study provides details on potential pipe wall sub-populations and the corresponding corrosion mechanisms for a wet parked pipeline within PTTEP's Montara field offshore north-western Australia based on data from a spot inspection campaign that was undertaken. The Montara Production Flowline 1 was wet parked for operational reasons during commissioning of the field in 2012 and remained isolated while corrective work was undertaken on Oil Separation train A. The purpose of the analytical work detailed within this paper was to facilitate a fitness-for-purpose assessment of the flowline. integrating the inspection results gained from externally applied ART provided by HalfWave. the external inspection history and the as-built commissioning records from 2012. By returning the flowline to service, a newly drilled and completed platform well was able to be flowed through a quarantined separation train without the clean-up fluids interfering with a working production train. Commissioning of this flowline restored the flexibility for production operations contemplated in the facility design and will improve the availability of production going forward. Application of the statistical assessment methodology to the pipeline inspection data detailed within the case study resulted in a cost reduction of up to AU$15M compared to in-line inspection.
机译:在线海底管道的检查是检测碳钢管线内的异常的常用方法。然而智能清管系列的费用是有时在经济上不可行,尤其是对于需要海底到海底清管的情况。 DNVGL-ST-F101是基于风险的离岸标准,该标准规定,失败的概率比根据安全等级的管道系统的预定水平低。其结果是基于风险评估方法已经得到开发和利用,以确保遵守法规。本文介绍了一种方法和用于使用的支撑为例外部安装检查工具承接管壁的点进行检查以确定在代替更昂贵的在线确定性检查方法流水线的总体统计腐蚀模型。这种检查是需要经过管道较长时间的湿停车支持管道的调试过程。该方法提出利用来自现场检查工具,可以用于管道壁的分立元件报告壁厚的结果(例如1平方毫米或1厘米2)与每个扫描包围管道的长度较短(例如1米长度)导致大量的数据点。数据点是从整体管人口样本,因此可以被用来推断整体管壁元件群的统计参数。为了提供信心数据点代表整个群体,了解管道内的可信腐蚀机理,并确保取样位置相应地选择在可能出现高耐蚀捕捉领域是很重要的。亚群也可以基于键位置(例如环焊缝)并单独评估,以提供整体的腐蚀机理的精制评估确定。统计引导捆扎对数据点进行,以提供围绕采样数据置信带最保守的极端概率曲线被用在最后的评估。案例研究提供了潜在的管壁亚群和PTTEP的蒙塔拉领域内的湿停管道相应的防腐机制的细节离岸西北部基于从已进行的现场检查活动数据澳大利亚。所述蒙塔拉产品流送管1是湿停放操作的原因在2012年场的调试期间,并保持分离,同时纠正工作在油分离列车A.采取本文中详述的分析工作的目的是,以方便一个健身换流线的目的的评估。积分从由半波提供外部施加的技术所获得的检查结果。外部检查的历史和竣工投产从2012年记录到的流线返回到服务,新钻井和完井的平台以及能够通过隔离分离火车没有清理流体与合作生产的一条龙的干扰能够流动。这个流线的调试恢复在设施设计考虑生产经营的灵活性,并提高了生产向前发展的可用性。导致了成本降低了对AU $ 15M相比,在线检测统计评估方法,案例研究中详述的管道检测数据的应用。

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