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SHORT TERM FORECASTING WITH SUPPORT VECTOR MACHINES AND APPLICATION TO STOCK PRICE PREDICTION

机译:支持向量机的短期预测及其在股票价格预测中的应用

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Financial time series are complex, non stationary and deterministically chaotic. Therefore, it is impossible to forecast with parametric models such as regression. Instead of parametric models, we propose two techniques and compare those with each other. They are data-driven non parametric models. Two different models are assumed with different inputs. Our assumption is that the future value of a stock price depends on the financial indicators although there is no parametric model to explain this relationship. This relationship comes from the technical analysis. Comparison shows that SVR over performs the multi layer perceptron (MLP) networks for a short term prediction.
机译:金融时间序列复杂,不稳定且确定性混乱。因此,不可能通过诸如回归之类的参数模型进行预测。代替参数模型,我们提出了两种技术并将它们相互比较。它们是数据驱动的非参数模型。假设两个不同的模型具有不同的输入。我们的假设是,尽管没有参数模型可以解释这种关系,但是股票价格的未来价值取决于财务指标。这种关系来自技术分析。比较表明,SVR over可以执行多层感知器(MLP)网络以进行短期预测。

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