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A PRACTICAL ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE-BASED PREDICTOR FOR REAL TIME STOCK INDEX FORECASTING PROBLEM

机译:基于实用人工智能的实时股票指数预测问题预测器

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Ample research mainly based on supervised learning-oriented approaches already has been done in the real time financial series forecasting area. Although some of such predictors can perform better than conventional models consistently, they suffer from inherent drawbacks due to the characteristic of supervised learning. Reinforcement Learning (RL) methods embody a general Monte Carlo approach to dynamic programming for catching system dynamics under uncertain environments. The integrated architecture combined RL and artificial neural networks (ANNs) is the powerful tool for both control and prediction purpose. Relatively fewer studies were made in terms of predicting the stock market data by means of such hybrid framework. This paper presents the novel Neuro - Q Learning prediction model for forecasting real time stock index. The encouraging experimental results for NASDAQ market illustrate the effectiveness of the presented approach.
机译:在实时金融系列预测领域中,已经主要基于有监督的,以学习为导向的方法进行了大量研究。尽管此类预测器中的某些预测器始终可以比常规模型更好地执行,但由于监督学习的特性,它们存在固有的缺陷。强化学习(RL)方法体现了通用的蒙特卡洛方法进行动态编程,以捕获不确定环境下的系统动态。结合了RL和人工神经网络(ANN)的集成体系结构是用于控制和预测目的的强大工具。通过这种混合框架来预测股市数据方面的研究相对较少。本文提出了一种新颖的Neuro-Q学习预测模型,用于预测实时股指。纳斯达克市场令人鼓舞的实验结果证明了该方法的有效性。

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