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Approximate inference for first-order probabilistic languages

机译:一阶概率语言的近似推断

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摘要

A new, general approach is described for approximate inference in first-order probabilistic languages, using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques in the space of concrete possible worlds underlying any given knowledge base. The simplicity of the approach and its lazy construction of possible worlds make it possible to consider quite expressive languages. In particular, we consider two extensions to the basic relational probability models (RPMs) defined by Koller and Pfeffer, both of which have caused difficulties for exact algorithms. The first extension deals with uncertainty about relations among objects, where MCMC samples over relational structures. The second extension deals with uncertainty about the identity of individuals, where MCMC samples over sets of equivalence classes of objects. In both cases, we identify types of probability distributions that allow local decomposition of inference while encoding possible domains in a plausible way. We apply our algorithms to simple examples and show that the MCMC approach scales well.
机译:描述了一种新的通用方法,用于在一阶概率语言中使用马尔可夫链蒙特卡洛(MCMC)技术在任何给定知识库基础的具体可能世界范围内进行近似推理。这种方法的简单性及其对可能世界的懒惰构造使得可以考虑表达能力很强的语言。特别是,我们考虑了对Koller和Pfeffer定义的基本关系概率模型(RPM)的两个扩展,这两个扩展都给精确算法带来了困难。第一个扩展处理对象之间关系的不确定性,其中MCMC在关系结构上进行采样。第二个扩展处理关于个人身份的不确定性,MCMC在其中对对象的等价类集合进行采样。在这两种情况下,我们都确定了概率分布的类型,这些概率分布允许推理的局部分解,同时以合理的方式对可能的域进行编码。我们将算法应用于简单的示例,并表明MCMC方法可很好地扩展。

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