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Effects of adverse weather and aging on power system reliability

机译:恶劣天气和老化对电力系统可靠性的影响

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Most power system reliability studies assume a constant failure rate and an exponentially-distributed repair time. For redundant (parallel) components, using the average component failure rates gives erroneous results. The effect of time-varying failure rates is discussed for adverse weather and for component aging. A primary-selective supply is used to introduce the phenomena. Especially adverse weather is shown to significantly affect the interruption frequency. Both adverse weather and component aging require additional data collection efforts. Including component aging also requires a serious modelling effort.
机译:大多数电力系统可靠性研究都假设故障率恒定且维修时间呈指数分布。对于冗余(并行)组件,使用平均组件故障率会得出错误的结果。讨论了时变故障率对恶劣天气和组件老化的影响。主要选择电源用于引入现象。特别是不利的天气显示出严重影响中断的频率。不利的天气和部件老化都需要额外的数据收集工作。包括组件老化也需要认真的建模工作。

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