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MEDEX: a fuzzy system for forecasting Mediterranean gale force winds

机译:MEDEX:用于预测地中海大风的模糊系统

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This paper presents an implementation of a fuzzy rule-based system for predicting the onset and cessation of seven gale-force winds in the Mediterranean region. The rules were compiled by several meteorological experts, and implemented using a commercial software package. Significant issues included the specification of loosely defined variables, and the treatment of the system user's uncertainty and inexperience. Preliminary results show predicted wind onset and cessation likelihoods consistent with the experts' expectations and actual weather observations.
机译:本文介绍了一个基于模糊规则的系统的实现,该系统可预测地中海地区七种大风的发生和停止。该规则由几位气象专家编辑,并使用商业软件包实施。重要的问题包括宽松定义变量的规范,以及系统用户的不确定性和经验不足的处理。初步结果表明,预测的风起风和中风终止的可能性与专家的期望和实际天气的观察结果一致。

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