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Research on Fire Risk Assessment and Control Methods for Urban Bridges Based on Fuzzy-Bn

机译:基于模糊Bn的城市桥梁火灾风险评估与控制方法研究

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According to the characteristics of fuzziness and uncertainty in fire risk assessment of urban Bridges, this paper proposes a fire risk assessment model of urban Bridges based on fuzzy bayesian network. First of all, the factors are summarized into three sub-networks: risk source, risk carrier and disaster prevention and reduction control state. Then, the prior probability of bayesian network is determined through data investigation and expert scoring. Finally, the use of bayesian network to evaluate example project, get the bridge highway to fire risk level for "III". The results of this paper are consistent with the actual situation, which verifies the practicability and effectiveness of fuzzy bayesian network risk assessment.
机译:针对城市桥梁火灾风险评估的模糊性和不确定性的特点,提出了一种基于模糊贝叶斯网络的城市桥梁火灾风险评估模型。首先,将这些因素归纳为三个子网:风险源,风险承担者和防灾减灾控制状态。然后,通过数据调查和专家评分确定贝叶斯网络的先验概率。最后,利用贝叶斯网络对实例工程进行评估,得出桥梁公路的火灾危险等级为“ III”级。研究结果与实际情况相吻合,验证了模糊贝叶斯网络风险评估的可行性和有效性。

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