Finding Models via MSFD to Predict Number of Wars in Which USA May Participate in Next Ten Years

摘要

Nowadays, the USA (i.e., United States of America) is the most powerful country in the world. Depending on its powerful military strength, the USA often takes part in wars in many countries for various purposes. The USA's military actions often play important roles in the world. Will the USA participate in more wars in the future? In this paper, a method named multiple sine functions decomposition (MSFD) is presented to predict the number of wars that the USA may participate in. We use this method to learn the data of historical wars, and then generate the model for prediction. Finally the model predicts that the USA may be involved in 3 to 4 wars within the next ten years. Notably, this paper differs from other or previous papers that we divide the input data-set into two parts (i.e., learning part and learning-checking part), used to further improve the robustness of the results.