Dynamic Modeling of the Czech Republic Population with a Focus on Alzheimer's Disease Patients

摘要

This article focuses on the Czech population modeling with the main aim to predict the Alzheimer's disease patients numbers. We choose a system dynamics as a modeling tool for this phenomenon. The article describes Alzheimer's disease and its causes, the expected development of the population by 2100, the AD patient's development, and last but not least the theory of system thinking. The outputs are based on the statistical data analysis and created by a dynamic model, which can simulate the development of the Czech Republic population and the AD patients.