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DEVELOPMENT OF UNCERTAINTY QUANTIFICATION CAPABILITY FOR NESTLE

机译:嵌套不确定性量化能力的发展

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This work aims to develop an uncertainty analysis methodology for the propagation and quantification of the effects of nuclear cross-section uncertainties on important core-wide attributes, such as power distribution and core critical eigenvalue. Given the computationally taxing nature of this endeavor, our goal is to develop a methodology capable of preserving the accuracy of brute force sampling techniques for uncertainty quantification while realizing the efficiency of deterministic techniques. To achieve that, a reduced order modeling (ROM) approach is proposed to deal with the enormous size of the uncertainty space, comprising all the cross-section few-group parameters required in core-wide simulation. The idea is to generate a compressed representation of the uncertainty space, as represented by a covariance matrix, that renders sampling techniques computationally a feasible option for quantifying and prioritizing the various sources of uncertainties. While the proposed developments are general to any reactor physics computational sequence, we customize our approach to the NESTLE [l]-TRITON [2] computational sequence, which will serve as a demonstrative tool for the implementation of our approach. NESTLE is a software used for core wide simulation, which relies on the few-group cross-sections to calculate core wide attributes over multiple cycles of depletion. Its input cross-sections are generated using a matrix of conditions evaluated using a lattice physics code, which in our implementation is done using the TRITON software of the ORNL' SCALE suit. This manuscript presents one of the early steps towards this goal. Specifically, we focus here on the development of the algorithms for determining the reduced dimension of covariance matrix. Numerical experiment using the TRITON software is employed to demonstrate how the reduction is achieved.
机译:这项工作旨在开发一种不确定性分析方法,用于传播和量化核横截面不确定性对整个核的重要属性(例如功率分布和核心临界特征值)的影响。考虑到这项工作的计算繁琐性质,我们的目标是开发一种方法,该方法能够保留用于不确定性量化的蛮力采样技术的准确性,同时实现确定性技术的效率。为实现这一目标,提出了一种降阶建模​​(ROM)方法来处理不确定性空间的巨大规模,其中包括核心范围仿真中所需的所有横截面少数组参数。这个想法是生成一个不确定性空间的压缩表示,如协方差矩阵所表示的那样,它使采样技术在计算上成为量化和确定各种不确定性来源的优先选择。尽管拟议的发展对任何反应堆物理计算序列都是通用的,但我们为NESTLE [1] -TRITON [2]计算序列定制了方法,它将作为实现我们方法的示范工具。 NESTLE是用于核宽模拟的软件,该软件依靠少数几个组的横截面来计算多个耗尽周期的核宽属性。它的输入横截面是使用条件矩阵生成的,该条件矩阵使用晶格物理代码进行评估,在我们的实现中,该条件是使用ORNL的SCALE套装的TRITON软件完成的。该手稿介绍了朝着这个目标迈出的第一步。具体而言,我们在此集中于确定协方差矩阵的降维的算法的开发。使用TRITON软件进行的数值实验被用来证明减少量是如何实现的。

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