Prediction by means hazard rate occurrence is a deeply wrong approach

摘要

This paper is a strong critic to the classical procedure used for the prediction of failure occurrences for mechanical and electronic equipment. The present procedure is based on the concept of randomness that has the undoubted vantage of the easiness, moreover, it is traditionally used so it is well known by scientists, technicians and experts in the field, but it a priori renounces to the knowledge of the causes that lead to failure. The paper presents a new approach to face the problematic showing that it is possible to follow new and more accurate routes and presents a typical application.