Valley of Death, Technology Pork Barrel, and support for large demonstration projects

摘要

Results from 270 case studies show:1. Public share varies, even within technologies1.1 Comparisons are counter-intuitive1.2 Multivariate regression framework under work2. Up-scaling is central2.1 Need many demos, increasing in size2.2 Sequential to enable iterative learning3. Need payoffs that are robust to market conditions3.1 Risky to depend on hotelling price increases3.2 Niche markets, hedging across markets.