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Learning abstract snippet detectors with Temporal embedding in convolutional neural Networks

机译:在卷积神经网络中使用时间嵌入来学习抽象代码片段检测器

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The prediction of periodical time-series remains challenging due to various types of scaling, misalignments and distortion effects. Here, we propose a novel model called Temporal embedding-enhanced convolutional neural Network (TeNet) to learn repeatedly-occurring-yet-hidden structural elements in periodical time-series, called abstract snippet detectors, to predict future changes. Our model effectively learns a new feature space for a time-series dataset. In the new feature space, distorted time-series that have implicit similarity but substantial differences in value and sequence to regular patterns are re-aligned to the regular patterns in the dataset, and subsequently contribute to a robust prediction mode. The model is robust to various types of distortions and misalignments and demonstrates strong prediction power for periodical time-series. We conduct extensive experiments and discover that the proposed model shows significant and consistent advantages over existing methods on a variety of data modalities ranging from human mobility to household power consumption records, when evaluated under four metrics. The model is also robust to various factors such as number of samples, variance of data, numerical ranges of data etc. The experiments verify that the intuition behind the model can be generalized to multiple data types and applications and promises significant improvement in prediction performance across the datasets studied.
机译:由于各种类型的缩放,未对准和失真效应,对定期时间序列的预测仍然具有挑战性。在这里,我们提出了一种称为时间嵌入增强卷积神经网络(TeNet)的新型模型,以学习周期性时间序列中反复出现但尚未隐藏的结构元素,即抽象代码段检测器,以预测未来的变化。我们的模型有效地学习了时间序列数据集的新特征空间。在新的特征空间中,将具有隐式相似性但与常规模式的值和序列有实质性差异的扭曲时间序列重新对齐到数据集中的常规模式,从而为鲁棒的预测模式做出了贡献。该模型对各种类型的失真和未对准具有鲁棒性,并证明了针对周期性时间序列的强大预测能力。我们进行了广泛的实验,发现在四个指标下进行评估时,所提出的模型在从人类移动性到家庭用电记录的各种数据模式上均显示出优于现有方法的显着且一致的优势。该模型还对各种因素(例如样本数量,数据方差,数据的数值范围等)具有鲁棒性。实验证明,该模型的直觉可以推广到多种数据类型和应用,并有望显着改善整个模型的预测性能。研究的数据集。

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