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Data Driven Validation Framework for Multi-agent Activity-Based Models

机译:基于多主体活动的模型的数据驱动验证框架

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Activity-based models, as a specific instance of agent-based models, deal with agents that structure their activity in terms of (daily) activity schedules. An activity schedule consists of a sequence of activity instances, each with its assigned start time, duration and location, together with transport modes used for travel between subsequent activity locations. A critical step in the development of simulation models is validation. Despite the growing importance of activity-based models in modelling transport and mobility, there has been so far no work focusing specifically on statistical validation of such models. In this paper, we propose a six-step Validation Framework for Activity-based Models (VALFRAM) that allows exploiting historical real-world data to assess the validity of activity-based models. The framework compares temporal and spatial properties and the structure of activity schedules against real-world travel diaries and origin-destination matrices. We confirm the usefulness of the framework on three activity-based transport models.
机译:基于活动的模型作为基于代理的模型的特定实例,处理根据(每日)活动计划来构造其活动的代理。活动计划表由一系列活动实例组成,每个活动实例都有其指定的开始时间,持续时间和位置,以及用于后续活动位置之间旅行的运输方式。开发仿真模型的关键步骤是验证。尽管基于活动的模型在交通运输和出行模型中的重要性日益提高,但迄今为止,还没有针对这种模型的统计验证的工作。在本文中,我们提出了一个六步的基于活动的模型验证框架(VALFRAM),该框架允许利用历史真实数据来评估基于活动的模型的有效性。该框架将时间和空间属性以及活动时间表的结构与现实世界的旅行日记和出发地目的地矩阵进行比较。我们在三个基于活动的运输模型上确认了该框架的有用性。

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