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LOSSES FROM FAILURE: RAMS ANALYSIS IN EXTREME COLD OPERATING CONDITIONS

机译:失败造成的损失:极端冷工况下的RAM分析

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Offshore field development, especially in the Arctic region, is a complex activity involving risks and uncertainties from a wide range of sources. The conventional RAMS (Reliability, Availability, Maintainability and Safety) analysis has been used, for a long time, as a performance measure of the system. Moreover, it has been applied to identify weaknesses and select the more reliable system. However, choosing the more reliable system does not always mean that less losses from its failure. The purpose of this paper is to modify and adapt a methodology for risk-based RAMS analysis of a production system, based on losses from failures, by considering the effect of the extreme cold operational conditions. The adapted methodology uses risk analysis as a key component for the RAMS analysis. The potential sources of uncertainties and risks involved in the RAMS analysis has been assessed and identified. Further, the losses from failures have been estimated, for case-specific design features, by considering the effect of operational conditions.
机译:近海油田开发,特别是在北极地区,是一项复杂的活动,涉及来自各种来源的风险和不确定性。长期以来,传统的RAMS(可靠性,可用性,可维护性和安全性)分析已用作系统的性能指标。此外,它已被用于识别弱点并选择更可靠的系统。但是,选择更可靠的系统并不总是意味着故障减少的损失。本文的目的是通过考虑极端寒冷运行条件的影响,基于故障造成的损失,修改和调整用于基于风险的生产系统RAMS分析的方法。调整后的方法使用风险分析作为RAMS分析的关键组成部分。 RAMS分析涉及的不确定性和风险的潜在来源已得到评估和确定。此外,针对具体案例的设计特征,通过考虑操作条件的影响,可以估算出故障造成的损失。

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