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Risk-Informed Assessment of PWSCC Issue in CANDU Feeder Piping

机译:CANDU支线管道中PWSCC问题的风险知情评估

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A tiered composite risk-informed LBB case has been developed for the postulated cracking of outlet feeder dissimilar metal welds. The deterministic LBB assessment shows that 90% of the DMWs at risk satisfy the five mandatory requirements: factor on load, factor on crack length, factor on leak rate, time from detectable leakage to rupture, and factor on consequential leakage. For the remaining 10% of the DMWs at risk have an insufficient factor on leak rate, the AFEA flaw evaluation demonstrates there are at least 58 days available for operator action to shut down the reactor. The probabilistic LBB assessment concludes that the 95~(th) percentile of rupture probability from a single DMW is 5.95 ×10~(-8) and that even 100% inspection every outage (-2.5 EFPY) does not significantly reduce the rupture probability. Of the input parameters for the probabilistic LBB assessment, the operational leak detection limit has the most significant impact on the rupture probability and the influence of WRS is important.
机译:已经开发出一种多层的,有风险提示的LBB案例,用于假设出料口异种金属焊缝开裂。 LBB的确定性评估表明,处于风险中的DMW中有90%满足以下五个强制性要求:载荷系数,裂纹长度系数,泄漏率系数,从可检测的泄漏到破裂的时间以及相应的泄漏系数。对于处于风险中的其余10%的DMW,其泄漏率的影响因素不足,AFEA缺陷评估表明,操作员至少有58天的时间可以采取行动关闭反应堆。概率LBB评估得出的结论是,单个DMW的破裂概率的95%(th)为5.95×10〜(-8),即使每次停机(-2.5 EFPY)进行100%检查也不会显着降低破裂概率。在用于概率LBB评估的输入参数中,操作泄漏检测极限对破裂概率的影响最大,并且WRS的影响很重要。

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