A Model of a Multiagent Early Warning System for Crisis Situations in Economy

摘要

During last decades, the world has experienced a large number of economic crises, which were not confined to an individual economy, but affected directly, or in-directly almost every country all over the world. As a result, a number of international organizations, governments, and private sector institutions have begun to develop an early warning system as a monitoring system to detect the possibility of occurrence of an economic crisis in advance and to alert its users to take preventive actions. However, each of the systems addresses just one selected branch of economy, or particular spheres of company operation, and only a limited and small group of users apply them. Therefore this paper focuses on developing a conception of a model of a multiagent early warning system for crisis situations in economy. The system will include all branches of economy, and it may be used by any group of users. It will have the ability to predict unfavorable economic situations at a local, scattered, and integral level.