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Evolution of Safeguards - An Information-driven Approach to Acquisition Path Analysis

机译:保障措施的演进-信息驱动的获取路径分析方法

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The IAEA's Department of Safeguards has embarked on an evolutionary process to more fully develop and apply the State-Level Concept (SLC) for safeguards implementation. This concept makes use of all safeguards-relevant information available in order to focus and prioritize its safeguards activities. Key components of the SLC are the development of a State-level Approach (SLA) and Annual Implementation Plan (AIP), which consists of analysing acquisition paths, establishing and prioritizing technical objectives, and identifying applicable safeguards measures. The Next Generation Safeguard Initiative of the National Nuclear Security Administration, Office of Nonproliferation and International Security, has supported Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL) in the development and assessment of options for SLA and AIP development. This paper describes LANL's multi-step model process for SLA/AIP development. The paper begins with an explanation of how acquisition paths can be enumerated and visualized using a directed graph. In the LANL process, these paths are then ranked according to an assessment of their inherent attractiveness followed by a prioritization step driven by a capability assessment of the State and other safeguards relevant information. Paths are then assigned performance targets according to their priority which influences the focus and intensity of safeguards effort. Annual technical objectives are determined to satisfy these performance targets, and the possibility of utilizing random path selection is explored. Researchers at Forschungszentrum Jiilich (FZJ) have also been exploring SLA development methods and a hypothetical State, created in collaboration with FZJ, is defined and used in examples for illustrative purposes. Differences in the LANL and FZJ approaches are also identified in the paper.
机译:原子能机构保障司已着手发展,以更充分地发展和应用国家一级概念来实施保障。该概念利用了所有与保障相关的信息,以便集中精力并确定其保障活动的优先级。 SLC的关键组成部分是制定国家级方法(SLA)和年度实施计划(AIP),其中包括分析采购路径,确定技术目标并确定其优先级,并确定适用的保障措施。国家核安全局,防扩散和国际安全办公室的“下一代保障倡议”已支持洛斯阿拉莫斯国家实验室(LANL)制定和评估SLA和AIP开发方案。本文介绍了LANL用于SLA / AIP开发的多步骤模型过程。本文首先说明如何使用有向图枚举和可视化采集路径。在LANL流程中,然后根据对它们的内在吸引力的评估来对这些路径进行排序,然后根据国家的能力评估和其他保障相关信息来驱动优先步骤。然后根据路径的优先级将路径分配给性能目标,这将影响保障工作的重点和强度。确定年度技术目标以满足这些性能目标,并探索利用随机路径选择的可能性。 Forschungszentrum Jiilich(FZJ)的研究人员还一直在探索SLA的开发方法,并与FZJ合作创建了一种假设状态,并在示例中使用该状态进行说明。本文还确定了LANL和FZJ方法的差异。

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